CARR Theory: Explaining Intelligence Product Success and Failure

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Daniel J. Reisner

Issue Date

2025-06-18

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Article

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Abstract

CARR theory provides a comprehensive, non-relational, and falsifiable framework for evaluating knowledge-based intelligence products. It posits that such products can only be successful when they meet four minimum necessary conditions: conveyance, actionability, relevance, and reliability (CARR). Counterintuitively, CARR challenges the assumption that timeliness and accuracy are necessary conditions for intelligence product success. The theory offers practitioners, scholars, and policymakers a parsimonious tool to aid the diagnosis of product success and failure.

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Daniel J. Reisner (18 Jun 2025): CARR Theory: Explaining Intelligence Product Success and Failure, International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence, DOI: 10.1080/08850607.2025.2513082

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0885-0607

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